STORMS COMING

The storms are coming. I would say by 9 PM we should be close if not into the action. Heading out to storm spot...

New Tornado Watch Until 3 AM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 483
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA
EXTREME SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST OHIO
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF SOUTH
BEND INDIANA TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 478...WW 480...WW
481...WW 482...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ALONG A SLOW-MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN INDIANA MAY CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...A LARGE DEVELOPING MCS TO THE W IN IL WILL MOVE ACROSS
INDIANA AND INTO OH LATE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...WITH AN
ACCOMPANYING THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.
ADDITIONALLY...THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES
WHERE THE MORE DISCRETE STORMS MERGE WITH THE LARGER MCS...AND WHERE
THE MCS INTERACTS WITH THE PRE-EXISTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ACROSS
INDIANA/OH.

Severe Weather May Be Blossoming

A new cell riding the Benton County/Warren County line is the first signs the cap is letting something initiate. We will have to wait and see if this is a false start or the beginning of the real deal.

The track of the cell look to hit Logansport. It has not been severe enough for a warning yet.

New Day, Same Problem...

Severe weather is being held in check by a rather stout cap in place. A quote from the Indianapolis NWS AFD...

WIDESPREAD STORMS WERE HAVING A HARD TIME DEVELOPING ALONG THE CNTRL IN BOUNDARY DUE TO A STG 700 MB CAP (12 DEGREES CELSIUS)IN PLACE.

Tornado Watch

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA
SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1150 AM UNTIL 700
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
VALPARAISO INDIANA TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT WAYNE INDIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

Tornado Watch Until 7 PM

Looks like they pulled the trigger for a tornado watch. Some pop up storms already forming in Central Illinois.

Watching Coming...

Looks like a watch is coming for our area. Be alert for afternoon storms popping up and lasting into the late evening...

Increaded Hail & Tornado Threat

The SPC updated their day one outlook rasising the tornado thread to 10% and the hail threat to 45% over are area and west through Illinois. Keep watch...

Another Moderate Risk Day Ahead...

So will today be the day things finally get going across the area? It will be a waiting game. I don't think we will have to wait much past mid afternoon to know it severe weather is going to break out.

Wind will be the primary thread of the day. Widespread wind could cause power outages and down tree limbs.

Looks Like No Big Show Today or Tonight

The cap in general held off initiation this afternoon and evening. Iowa is littered with storm chasers who patiently waited and saw nothing. The SPC pared down the moderate risk area and moved it a a little north. An overnight MCS will look to stay north. Anything we see will be well after midnight and likely be closer to daybreak.

About the only positive from today is it won't leave a mess for tomorrow which could be good for those looking for some severe weather.

Still Waiting...

Everything is in place for a big outbreak in IA and into IL and then Indiana. But the CAP seems to be keeping a lid on almost everything. Unfortunately things keep getting wound up tighter and tighter under the CAP and if and when she decides to break, it could make for very long and dangerous evening/night for everyone.

Severe Weather Update

It is not everyday you see back to back moderate risk areas over our area. Severe weather is likely for much of Indiana. It seems we will get wet this morning but will have to wait until afternoon and evening before anything severe could come across the area.

Sever Weather Possible Thursday & Friday

I sure think things are coming together for a possible severe weather outbreak for Thursday afternoon and evening across lower Wisconsin northern Illinois, and all of Indiana with the exception of the southwest corner.

Stay tuned for better updates...

Late Week Severe Weather Possible

Looks like IA, IL, and IN will be in the bullseye on Thursday for some severe weather. Could be the best shot for severe weather we have had this rather quiet season.

Possible Severe Weather on Monday & Wednesday

Today and Wednesday look to be potentially busy days for spotters in the area with severe weather. Things should get a start in the afternoon and last into the evening. This system has produce a number of tornadoes to our west. Hail and wind damage also have been widely reported.