Wednesday Has Potential

There is potential for today but it will take several things to come together. The biggest will be the clearing our of the early morning rain. Nothing special about needing clear skies ans sun to create instability.

Likely the biggest threat will be after the dinner hour when the cold front has created a squall line of severe weather.

Again, today will be a day of nowcasting and watching the west in western IA, northwestern MO and central and northern IL to see what is happen with their weather and clearing.

Wednesday Nowcasting (Be Alert!)

It does look like the most significant severe weather will be to our west. This system has tremendous potential to either one for the record book or bust. (Even with a bust there will be some severe weather.) Wednesday will be all about nowcasting from the morning on through the overnight (and maybe even into Thursday). I urge everyone to be alert to weather forecasts and alerts and if you have outside activities, you should take tomorrow's forecast very seriously.

Wednesday Update

Looks like a slight shift northwest in with the outlook however I think we are still are possibly in an area for a significant severe weather outbreak for tomorrow.

Wednesday Severe Weather Update

Wednesday afternoon and evening look interesting. Just a bit of history, the SPC forecaster who issued today's day three moderate risk issued the first day two high risk for the April 7, 2006 event and hit it perfect.

Day 3 Moderate Risk

The SPC has issued a moderate risk at day three for only the 8th time in its history. Not only is this siginificant, we are very near the moderate risk area and in the slight risk area. Looks like we may have some severe weather to deal with mid week.

Slight Risk Cancelled

Not surprisingly, the slight risk was canceled for all of Indiana. Things just never could get going in marginal conditions and a solid cloud deck.

Another Slight Risk Day

Looks like we have another slight risk day for our area. There is a marginal 5% risk for tornadoes in southern Indiana. Some clearing late in the afternoon could increase the instability and produce a few isolated supercells. Otherwise expect a much weaker threat for today.

Slight Risk...

We are now under a slight risk for severe weather today (4/27). Looks like we could seem some possible wind and isolated threats from bow echo thunderstorms which form along the cold front. Overall the set up looks rather messy/disorganized but as the day progresses, conditions should be watched in case any potential increases. It is rather windy today and I measured a 46 MPH wind gust on the north end of Kokomo around 11 AM.

Yuk...

That is about the way to describe the miserable spring we have been having. Cold and rainy and just plain awful. I have been trying to avoid posting about it hoping it would go away. I do see any significant warming trend over the next couple of weeks. That isn't to say a couple of nice days won't be happening but the trend isn't our friend.

April Snow...

It looks like spring break could be sledding time for our area. It could be fun...