High Winds Coming/Flakes Reported in Lafayette

Duke Energy Power Outage

Some spotty power outages are possible today with the winds. You can find information and updates from Duke Energy online here - http://www.duke-energy.com/indiana/outages/current.asp

29.017"/982.6mb

The barometer read 29.017" OR 982.6mb 4:11 AM. That is the lowest reading of the year.



Winds are the concern of the day and watch the road for debris as you drive about. About anything not secured today will be blowing around. I already saw a small limb in the road on my way to work.

Wind...

Wind remains the headline for our area. Look for a memorable wind event tomorrow with sustained winds over 25 MPH with gust over 50 MPH likely. The one inch of snow will likely be blown completely away.

The temperatures will also drop significantly as the cold front passes. Temperature will begin to start falling by 9 AM with the passing of the cold front and will bottom out to 12 degrees by dawn on Thursday. Winds will remain on Thursday but down to 10 to 15 MPH sustained. Not much warming either with highs in the teens for Thursday.

Another cold night near 10 for Friday morning before warming to near 30. Looks for another dusting of snow Saturday evening with nominal accumulations.

Nothing Has Changed...

It looks like the warm air was way underdone on the forecast models. The rain/snow line keeps moving north/northwest. Zero chance we see any snow until tomorrow afternoon when a bit of the wrap around snow could fall. Accumulations of one inch at best.

The winds do remain a concern and I expect it to dominate local weather headlines through Thursday morning. Tomorrow during the daylight hours, I fully expect some wind damage to weak structures, uprooted trees, and power outages.

Now looking ahead to a smaller weekend storm which might bring a few flakes.

No Changes

Click for the whole picture...

It looks like there have been no shifts to the system which will impact our area. The winds will begin to ramp up today gusting to near 25 MPH and then will be double that tomorrow with 50 MPH plus wind gusts and 30 MPH sustained winds.

Monday Night Update

No significant changes to the forecast. It is going to really turn into a nowcast type of situation to see if there are changes to the track which would bring it further south.

Be advised the winds will be a significant problem in Wednesday with the strongest gusts around 10 AM to 4 PM where gusts over 50 MPH are likely.

If you are twitter savvy, please be sure and follow KokomoWeather for the very latest here - http://twitter.com/KokomoWeather

High Winds Watch For Wednesday

...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...

.A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE PLAINS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING STRONG WINDS TO CENTRAL INDIANA BEHIND A COLD FRONT STARTING ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH THE DAY.

315 PM EST MON DEC 7 2009

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


* TIMING: THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME STRONG BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER 7 AM AND CONTINUING THROUGH 1 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

* WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS: HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY HAVE DIFFICULTIES TRAVELLING AND COULD BE BLOWN OFF THE ROAD. LOOSE FURNITURE OR LAWN ITEMS MAY BE BLOWN AWAY.

Hope! (Forecast Update)

There is some hope we can pull out more snow than first thought. The cold and high pressure are a tad further south than originally forecast. This should cause the low pressure which is just inside of Nevada and training back into California to dip a bit lower into Texas.

From the Wichita, KS weather office an hour or so ago, then mention this too...

LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP WAS SHOWING THE UPPER LEVEL POTENTIAL VORTICITY (PV) ANOMALY CONTINUING TO DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CALIFORNIA COASTLINE. AIRCRAFT DATA IS EVEN SHOWING 130KT JET STREAK ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS PV ANOMALY. THESE CONDITIONS WOULD FAVOR THIS SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN AND CAUSE IT TOO TRACK FURTHER SOUTH. WE ARE STARTING SEE HINTS OF THIS ON THE LATEST GFS/NAM MODEL RUNS.

Let's take a second to look at the various forecast ensembles you can see that a significant number are southeast of the projected track favored by the NWS.

So while a track more slightly to the south and east would help us, it won't bring the blizzard to us. However we could potentially see our snow totals jump up to 3 to 5 inches rather than the minor 1 to 2 inches currently forecast.

Speaking of snow, system might bring a small front end dump of 1 to 2 inches before the rain comes. Watch for that just after the lunch hour tomorrow. Then rain before a quick swipe of another inch before dawn on Thursday morning.

I guess we still need to keep an eye on the system...

It Snowed!

We finally have done it! We have our first snow!

As mentioned, there was some wild driving and the scanner was going crazy with slid offs. I did hear of one possible accident which included a car stuck on tracks. You can catch all of the action at ScanKokomo - http://www.scankokomo.com/. (Mobile/Cell Phone users can listen here - http://m.radioreference.com/?feedId=127)

No big changes for the mid week storm for our area. Dubuque, Davenport, & Cedar Rapids, IA are now under a Blizzard Watch.