Back North...

Looks like we are back north with the system from most of the models but the Big Dog European model hasn't ran yet and could support a more southern solution.  It isn't always right but has a pretty decent track record which cannot be overlooked.

Using the NWS hourly graph which tweaked by hand from real meteorologists using models, synoptics, and skill shows us receiving 10.3 inches between noon on Sunday into Tuesday.  The are at 40 to 50% chances for snow which is pretty bullish for them 4 days out.

The 6z DGEX has a pretty narrow hit of snow.

The 12z GFS also is a good hit but not quite as good as yesterday.

 

Mixing issues are still on the table for now but at least we are still near or in the heaviest track of precipitation.  My fingers are cross for the late European model run...