Patterns...

There has been a lot of model watching looking for our first snow. We have had several show up 7-10 days out only to disappear and never materialize. That is somewhat disappointing but then again, we have not even had Thanksgiving yet and real winter hasn't even started.

The good in all of this if the favorable pattern which has been forecast and is coming to fruition. At some point this cold pattern with a -NAO has to produce some good snows and not the lake effect trickle of flurries we have been seeing.

I do think there will be on kick butt snow storm by Christmas. My only hope is it comes across the Ohio Valley/Upper Great Lakes and not just for the New England or Middle Atlantic area.