SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EMINENT ACROSS US

An outbreak of severe weather over the next three days is an almost certainty for much of the central US. This includes Indiana! A moderate risk was issued at Day 3 for Thursday. There have been only 6 previous moderate risk outlooks issued for Day 3 and all of those days verified with severe weather including tornadoes. The most recent was October 18, 2007 where 67 tornadoes were reported.

The current set up has seen a lot of comparisons to the 1974 Super Outbreak. If you compare the analogs maps of one to the other, it is not hard to see why those comparisons are being made. However, severe weather/tornadoes can be influenced by a wide variety of parameters and while comparisons can be made to past events, it of course does not dictate how this event will play out.

With that out of the way, one can and should expect a mulit-state event featuring tornadoes over 2 or 3 days. Indiana would likely see some chances for severe weather Thursday afternoon with much greater chances Thursday evening through the overnight hours into Friday morning. It has been seen with several recent events that severe weather has been continuing through the darkness into the following morning.

This makes it obvious that everyone needs to have a weather alert radio to keep themselves and their families save. If you do not have a weather radio today, make an effort to go pick one up somewhere. If you do, make sure it is plugged in, has a fresh battery, and is receiving signal.

Later today I will outline this event in greater detail.