Monday, February 2, 2009

Everyone Busted This Time...

Just about everyone who put out a forecast with the current storm moving up the eastern seaboard over the next few days. The models were all over the place and one would assume if 2 or 3 or sometimes 4 models were in agreement over a could of runs that you could start to make some sort of forecast from that information.

Nothing could have been further from the truth this time. It has been a nightmare and many professional meteorologists throwing their hands up. Those who work for private companies that have to produce a forecast busted several times as they flip flopped with the models. Many of the NWS offices used the word "uncertainty" in their AFDs.

As of now, there are no watches, warnings, or advisories out for the snow. It is very much a possibility the lake effect snow which could whip across out state could drop more snow than many east coast locations.

The rest of our weeks looks pretty quiet and our snow pack won't make it through next weekend with the warm temperatures. The better look for a return to a stormy weather pattern will be around the 10th of this month. The 5 day period following shows a lot of moisture and possible snow or rain.

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