NAM Model (6z and 12z)

Here is the current and previous run of the NAM forecast model for snow. The 6z has us in the best spot 10-12" of pure joy but the 12z has us in the 4-6" range. No doubt the 6z run is more fantasy that fact. As you can see, the gradient is pretty sharp so just a couple of counties will make the difference between good snow and a dusting. I still like my first call and do think the better/heavier snow will be north again. I will post the GFS in a couple of hours when it completes.