Snow On Track...

The snow is on track but which track remains to be seen. The NAM really has a northerly track and gives us the mother of all dry slots. Ugh! At least the NWS says thinks it is a bit too aggressive with its solution and is not giving it full credence. As you can see below, the NWS has us for a 3" accumulation and I still like my 3-4" first call from Tuesday. (Remember you heard it here first!)

If the NAM trends back and the other models stay on track, we could see a snow advisory issued after the 12z runs this morning. It will be close. (If everything else makes a jump to follow the NAM then snow lovers will be jumping from ledges around here. It will be ugly and disappointing to say the least.)