Question on the snow track...

Remember the last time we had a good snow predicted and we busted big? It could happen again. Even the NWS office in Indianapolis reminds us of that with these quotes.

"Remember, the track of the storm is still quite uncertain at this time. Any change in the projected track of the storm will have significant impact on the type and amounts of precipitation received at your location."

"AS FOR AMOUNTS...VERY LOW CONFIDENCE AND A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY. SOME MODEL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOW 10+ INCHES IN THE SOUTH OF THE AREA. WILL NOT GO THIS HIGH YET FOR THE UNCERTAINTY IN MODEL SOLUTIONS. BUT THIS WILL BE A CLOSE CALL. WILL INCLUDE ACCUMULATIONS OF SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN JUST TOO POOR REGARDING LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THIS WINTER...AND AM HOPING THAT PERHAPS FURTHER RUNS WILL LET US BE MORE CONFIDENT IN THIS STORM."

Tomorrow will bring us closer to deciding the track of the low and where the storm will go but last time we went right up to the event and got it wrong. I am not making any call on this storm today and will issue my forecast tomorrow around lunch.