Storm Trending South...

As many of us thought yesterday, the storm would trend south. (The track is a general west to east movement.) Yesterday the heavy snow bands were Chicago to Detroit. The weather hobbyists were gloating, making snow maps with very unrealistic totals, and touting the NWS warnings. Well, the warnings have been downgraded (and our upgraded (or about to be upgraded)) and an almost comical AFD (Area Forecast Discussion) came Milwaukee, Wisconsin office this afternoon. (You have to love those NWS guys with a sense of humor when they are about to bust big on their forecast.)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
307 PM CST MON FEB 25 2008

SHORT TERM

TONIGHT-
JUST ABOUT READY TO WALK THE PLANK. WILL BE A SHARP
GRADIENT BETWEEN NOTHING NORTH OF A LINE FROM
MADISON TO MILWAUKEE AND SIGNIFICANT SNOW SOUTH
OF THE ILLINOIS BORDER. ONLY THE 12Z GFS STUCK TO
KEEPING DECENT QPF ALONG THE ILLINOIS BORDER COUNTIES.
EVERYTHING ELSE HAS JUMPED SHIP TO THE SOUTH...
WHICH HAS BEEN THE TREND FOR DAYS. IF ONLY I
HAD LISTENED.