Tuesday, February 22, 2011

More Snow & More Snow Days

I admit I caught spring fever last week like everyone else.  I even said I was done with snow and ready to move on.  However it appears winter isn't ready to go so we are going to get drug back into this wintry mess.

Monday was a bit messy.  We were in a precarious spot where we teetered between rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow.  The thought was we would be mainly rain and instead things turned the other way.  Conditions quickly deteriorated catching many off guard.

We are going to be riding that line again Thursday evening into Friday.  However this time we should do a quick change from rain on Thursday to snow Thursday evening.  All models are showing ample precipitation.  The change over should be quick without much transitional precipitation.

Now don't think this is some magical moment where the models all agree and all meteorologists are singing songs around a campfire.  There is still a substantial amount of disagreement.  So at this point one needs to select which solution looks best. 

The NAM and SREF both seem to produce a narrow but intense swath of snow across Howard County from Thursday evening to Friday morning.  Snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches looks possible during this short window.

The call is pretty bold at this point but I will say area schools will cancel on Friday making for a long weekend.  More updates as needed...

No comments: