The question is where will this system enter the US from the Pacific. That can determine how this storm's direction over our area. At this point there is not a lot of model agreement and we are about 48 hours from this event beginning to impact the region. You can see the various tracks below.
This is a great representation of forecasters and NWS offices still today with regards to deciding the actual track.
Some respected NWS mets have said that most solutions remain on the table. Even a few that show a historic snowstorm. For us, the idea of a historic snowstorm seems to have past. I think at best we would see some impacts but not a direct hit. More than likely we remain with a change over to snow on Sunday and accumulations will likely be 1 to 3 inches if go with the major models and their limited agreement. (I will say this and get burned by the afternoon run of the Euro.)
Did I mention there looks to be another weekend storm next week? More fun to come...
1 comment:
How much longer before the path and impact are pretty certain? Like >70%? I know that any winter forecast is never totally right and a minor shift in any direction drastically changes that.
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